Mike Tomlin will experience a losing record as head coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers for the first time in his career during the 2022-23 NFL season.
At least, that’s what oddsmakers want you to strongly consider.
DraftKings set the Steelers’ over/under line at seven wins for the 2022-23 campaign, with the over slightly favored at -125. The under clocks in at +105.
To avoid his first losing season as a head coach, Tomlin will need to lead his Steelers to a mark of 9-8 (or 8-8-1 or 7-7-3 or 6-6-5 technically…).
Will he do it?
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What to Do with these Steelers Regular Season Wins Odds
Call me optimistic, but I’m taking the over at -125 and piling cash. There’s little doubt in my mind the Steelers will win more than seven football games in 2022.
Sure, questions remain for the Steelers at the most important position in football. Ben Roethlisberger’s gone after 18 years of service under center, and Mitch Trubisky, Mason Rudolph, and Kenny Pickett are duking it out in Latrobe, Pa., throughout Steelers training camp for that No. 1 QB spot as we speak.
The Steelers’ offensive line was bad last year, and it remains to be seen if the additions of James Daniels and Mason Cole and some reshuffling among last year’s squad will be enough to right that ship.
After Najee Harris, the running back group looks a little sketchy, too.
Thing is… How can you possibly count out Tomlin’s ability to get the most out of his squad? Did we forget the 2019 Duck Hodges/Mason Rudolph tag team season?
Tomlin’s streak of 16 consecutive non-losing seasons gets some heat and some “what have you done for me lately” opposition, but it’s a remarkable feat in the National Football League nonetheless.
The Steelers still boast the reigning Defensive Player of the Year in TJ Watt as well as two additional All-Pro caliber studs in defense in Cam Heyward and Minkah Fitzpatrick. At all three levels of defense, the Steelers are flat-out stacked.
With that in place plus an offense that –– while it does bring some questions –– boasts some serious potential, the Steelers might not only post a winning season but actually make some noise in the AFC at large.
If you agree with me on that, you might want to check this out…
Betting on the Steelers to Make the Playoffs
You can make some serious cheddar if you believe the Steelers will reach the playoffs in 2022.
DraftKings doesn’t like the team’s chances, giving them +330 odds to qualify for the postseason. On the other hand, if you think the Steelers won’t make the playoffs, you’ll need to pony up some serious cash to earn a return there, as the line currently favors that option heavily at -425.
The team made the playoffs in each of its last two seasons but failed to advance both times, losing to the Browns in 2020 and to the Chiefs in 2021.
Before that, the Steelers missed the playoffs in both 2018 and 2019 but qualified every season from 2014 to 2017.
Recent history suggests the Steelers are far more likely to make the playoffs than to miss, but without Roethlisberger, oddsmakers are clearly spooked.
Let that bet fly and feel good about it. The Steelers will surprise this year.
And while you’re at it…
If you believe the Steelers will make the playoffs this year, you might as well earn extra money by betting on them to have a winning record as well.
DraftKings set the line at +190 for the Steelers to post a 9-8 record or better. Last year, 9-8 wouldn’t have made it to the playoffs, as the Steelers (somewhat miraculously) squeaked in at 9-7-1 with the Raiders and Bengals just behind them at 10-7.
It’s highly doubtful 8-8-1 will get it done in 2022-23, so if you’re betting on playoffs, throw some cash into the “winning record” line as well.